05-07-20 | The Cook Political Report
The Race to Define the Presidential Race
Why Read: The Cook Political Report is one of the most trusted sources for U.S. election analysis and insight. Amy Walter provides a good snapshot on where the polling numbers are right now for President Trump and Vice President Biden and what they could mean come November. “Trump’s vote share in head to head match-ups with Biden is anywhere from three to eight points lower than his job approval rating. In other words, Trump has room to grow his showing against Biden by winning over voters who already think he’s doing a decent job as president.”
05-07-20 | Axios
Doug Sosnik: Dem momentum in congressional races
Why Read: Doug Sosnik, a former White House Political Director to President Bill Clinton, is highly regarded by both Republicans and Democrats for his insights and analysis. Axios writes of his latest research: “The big picture: Since President Trump’s election, Republicans have lost 42 House seats (and control of the House), 10 governorships, and well over 450 state legislative seats. Democrats have taken full control of government in 10 states. Since Trump was last on the ballot, the realignment of the parties has made it very difficult for Republicans to do well in swing and suburban areas.” Read Doug Sosnik’s the full memo. View the full deck. Read Sosnick’s top lines on the presidential race.
05-06-20 | Bloomberg
Trump Should Worry About His Approval Rating
Why Read: Bloomberg political analysis contributor Jonathan Bernstein says President Trump’s approval rating is in dangerous territory six months before the election.
05-06-20 | The New York Times
Trump’s New Coronavirus Message: Time to Move On to the Economic Recovery
Why Read: Peter Baker’s article about recent announcements by President Trump — ‘the coronavirus task force is winding down … no it’s not’ — is a good analysis of where the U.S. President may be heading in terms of his handling of the pandemic. “The president has made little effort to reconcile his increasing pressure to reopen with the increasing death toll, instead boasting that the government is now in better shape to deal with new cases with more ventilators, masks and other equipment.”
05-04-20 | Religious News Service
What history tells us about Donald Trump’s re-election prospects
Why Read: Religious News Services columnist Jana Reiss cites various polling sources to conclude that President Trump has an uphill battle to win the White House in November, as no president has won reelection with approval ratings as low as his. The column is a well-organized historical look at U.S. presidential elections in an attempt to predict the outcome of the next one.